bmaker.ag has released its Oscar odds. No big surprises in there, though as they post info on where the activity is on the rise (the percentage increase in “action” you see as the last number, you have to puzzle over who thinks the long shots have a real shot and is willing to put money where one’s mouth might go.
In the first column — the lowest number, or highest negative number, indicates the favorite.
So…they see it as Portman and Firth, Bale and Leo, with “King’s Speech” edging “Social Network” (both are getting plenty of betting action)) and Tom Hooper sneaking a best director prize away (again, a narrow difference in the betting) from David Fincher.
|
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR |
||
|
CHRISTIAN BALE – THE FIGHTER |
-1300 |
93% |
|
GEOFFERY RUSH – THE KING’S SPEECH |
+300 |
25% |
|
JEREMY RENNER – THE TOWN |
+2200 |
0.45% |
|
JOHN HAWKES – WINTER’S BONE |
+2200 |
0.45% |
|
MARK RUFFALO – THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT |
-1300 |
0.45% |
|
BEST ACTRESS |
||
|
ANNETTE BENING – THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT |
+400 |
20% |
|
JENNIFER LAWRENCE – WINTERS BONE |
+1300 |
7% |
|
MICHELLE WILLIAMS – BLUE VALENTINE |
+3500 |
0.05% |
|
NATALIE PORTMAN – BLACK SWAN |
-1225 |
70% |
|
+2500 |
0.2% |
|
|
BEST PICTURE |
||
|
127 HOURS |
+4000 |
0.01% |
|
BLACK SWAN |
+4000 |
0.01% |
|
INCEPTION |
+4000 |
0.01% |
|
THE FIGHTER |
+2500 |
0.4% |
|
THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT |
+4000 |
0.01% |
|
THE KING’S SPEECH |
-400 |
80% |
|
THE SOCIAL NETWORK |
-350 |
78% |
|
TOY STORY 3 |
+4000 |
0.01% |
|
TRUE GRIT |
+2500 |
.2% |
|
WINTER’S BONE |
+4000 |
0.01% |
|
LEADING ACTOR |
||
|
JAVIER BARDEM – “BIUTIFUL” |
+2500 |
0.2% |
|
JEFF BRIDGES – “TRUE GRIT” |
+2000 |
0.5% |
|
SSE EISENBERG – “THE SOCIAL NETWORK” |
+1000 |
1% |
|
COLIN FIRTH – “THE KING’S SPEECH” |
-2200 |
98% |
|
JAMES FRANCO – “127 HOURS” |
+900 |
10% |
|
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS |
||
|
AMY ADAMS – “THE FIGHTER” |
+1200 |
7.7% |
|
HAILEE STEINFELD – “TRUE GRIT” |
+200 |
33.3% |
|
HELENA BONHAM CARTER – “THE KING’S SPEECH” |
+300 |
25% |
|
JACKI WEAVER – “ANIMAL KINGDOM” |
+2500 |
0.7% |
|
MELISSA LEO – “THE FIGHTER” |
-500 |
83.3% |
|
BEST DIRECTOR |
||
|
DARREN ARONOFSKY – “BLACK SWAN” |
+1500 |
7.7% |
|
DAVID FINCHER – “THE SOCIAL NETWORK” |
-1600 |
95% |
|
DAVID O. RUSSELL – “THE FIGHTER” |
+2200 |
3% |
|
JOEL COEN AND ETHAN COEN – “TRUE GRIT” |
+1500 |
0.7% |
|
TOM HOOPER – “THE KING’S SPEECH” |
-2000 |
96.5% |
